How much are people across the world paying for their carbon emissions?
Our World in Data
- Around 30% of global CO2 emissions are currently covered by a carbon price (tax or trading scheme), leaving 71% of emissions completely unpriced.
- While there is a consensus among environmentalists and economists that polluters should pay for damage, most existing carbon prices fall far below the estimated "social cost of carbon," which experts place at over $100 per tonne.
Global Pricing Landscape
- Coverage of carbon pricing has grown from 7% of global emissions in 2010 to 30% last year.
- A tiny fraction (less than 0.5% of total emissions) is taxed at over $100 per tonne, including countries like Sweden, Switzerland, and Uruguay.
- The EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme accounts for approximately 5% of global emissions, with prices in the $65–90 range.
- The vast majority of carbon markets are priced very low, often under $10 per tonne.
Economic Implications
- Low carbon prices have negligible impacts on consumer fuel costs; at $5–$10 per tonne, petrol prices rise by only 1–2%.
- Significant price changes only occur when carbon prices reach the $100 per tonne range, which would increase petrol prices by about 15%—a magnitude comparable to regular volatility in global oil markets.
The Social Cost of Carbon
- Academic literature consistently estimates the social cost of carbon at over $100 per tonne of CO2.
- Experts generally agree that carbon taxation is a more cost-effective method to reduce emissions compared to other policy alternatives.